Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.191946 0.226360 0.264700 0.310515 0.363705 0.423445 0.495560
2024-12-15 0.141521 0.187081 0.243372 0.317741 0.413089 0.530881 0.687052
2024-12-22 0.108000 0.156479 0.221528 0.314550 0.443404 0.614715 0.858691
2024-12-29 0.089341 0.139728 0.212122 0.322605 0.485586 0.715486 1.062202
2025-01-05 0.073432 0.122935 0.198496 0.320598 0.510882 0.793406 1.240997
2025-01-12 0.060300 0.107455 0.183521 0.312982 0.524956 0.854448 1.399833
2025-01-19 0.049821 0.094109 0.169311 0.303580 0.533623 0.906465 1.548634
2025-01-26 0.044099 0.087793 0.165485 0.310260 0.568490 1.002749 1.777304
2025-02-02 0.039002 0.081623 0.160787 0.314367 0.598835 1.093972 2.006248
2025-02-09 0.034351 0.075430 0.154986 0.315370 0.623269 1.176899 2.228586
2025-02-16 0.030804 0.070790 0.151342 0.319699 0.653896 1.273267 2.483635
2025-02-23 0.028504 0.068341 0.151587 0.331473 0.699722 1.401396 2.808555
2025-03-02 0.024608 0.061804 0.142697 0.323948 0.707554 1.460660 3.013524
2025-03-09 0.022078 0.057931 0.138887 0.326535 0.736200 1.563081 3.312477
2025-03-16 0.019377 0.053140 0.132302 0.322121 0.749532 1.636294 3.560697
2025-03-23 0.017855 0.050978 0.131350 0.330082 0.790215 1.768773 3.941354
2025-03-30 0.015908 0.047345 0.126358 0.327968 0.808215 1.855527 4.235054
2025-04-06 0.013911 0.043182 0.119413 0.320172 0.812205 1.912477 4.470473
2025-04-13 0.012096 0.039158 0.112169 0.310564 0.810650 1.956843 4.682333
2025-04-20 0.011232 0.037728 0.111465 0.317387 0.849298 2.094803 5.114799
2025-04-27 0.010344 0.036054 0.109843 0.321583 0.881918 2.221972 5.534219
2025-05-04 0.009430 0.034111 0.107176 0.322608 0.906622 2.332906 5.926029
2025-05-11 0.008724 0.032703 0.105815 0.327029 0.940586 2.469038 6.389326